Summary Threat Type Vulnerabilities Surface Matrix Motivations Kill Chain Recommendations Appendix
Print Report

Image of former U.S. President Donald J. Trump praying

Submitted File

On Mar 23, 2023, former United States President, Donald Trump re-posted an image on social media platform Truth Social, from user "Siggy Flicker." The image depicted Trump poignantly knelt on his right knee, eyes closed, and hands claps together in prayer.

Threat Level

Low

Moderate

Elevated

High


Authenticity Spectrum

Real

Suspicious

Likely Fake

Fake



Deepfake Attack Profile

Credibility

Low

The more synthetic media is perceived to be legitimate and authoritative, the content is more likely to be trusted, persuasive, and acted upon.

Interactivity

Low

Synthetic media can range from non-interactive, not ongoing, or not consistent (low) to interactive, ongoing, and consistent (high).

Familiarity

High

Synthetic media can range from very recognizable and familiar (high) or hardly (or not) recognizable and familiar (low).

Evocation

High

Synthetic media can range from evoking a significant affective response (high) to barely or not at all eliciting an affective reaction.

Distribution

Mediumcast

Synthetic media can range from broadcast to a wide human audience or technical security measures (high) to a narrow, specific human audience or tailored technical security measure (low).


Deepfake & Synthetic Media Analysis Framework (DSMAF) Assessment™. The media submitted for this Deepfake Threat Intelligence Report (DTIR) was assessed with the Psyber Labs Deepfake & Synthetic Media Analysis Framework (DSMAF)™, a set of psychological, sociological and affective influence factors and sub-facets, that when holistically applied, inform the motivations, intentions, and targeting process in synthetic media and deepfake propagation. The findings of each DSMAF factor is described in respective sections and graphically plotted on the Deepfake Risk Factor Radar. The combined DSMAF findings are given a Synthetic Media Threat Level (Low, Medium, Elevated, or High) for actionable awareness and risk mitigation.

Threat Type

Threat Type is the category of intended purpose and the risk proposed by the synthetic media or deepfake. Often, cyber deception efforts through deepfake content are multi-purpose, and a result, are categorized with multiple threat types.

Social Contagion

The spread of behaviors, attitudes, beliefs and affect through social aggregates from one member to another

Digital Impersonation for Disinformation

Deepfake technology intentionally using the likeness of famous and/or credible authorities in an effort to shape the behaviors, attitudes, beliefs and/or emotions of the target audience

Political Instigator

The media is intended to serve as a catalyst for political argument, discord and divisiveness.

Common Cognitive Vulnerabilities & Exposures™ (CCVE)

Common Cognitive Vulnerabilities & Exploits (CCVEs) are perceptual distortions, cognitive biases, heuristics misapplied, or any mental process that exposes a person to a potential manipulation by an adversary.

The imagery of Trump praying prior to his impending arrest is one that avails upon emotions, pre-existing beliefs and reinforced reverence from Trump supporters.

Confirmation Bias

Category: Cognitive Processing

The tendency to seek information that confirms or supports a predetermined position or conclusion.

Availability Heuristic

Category: Cognitive Processing

Information that is more readily available in memory is judged as more likely or more representative. Can be influenced by recency or emotional virulence of the memories.

Liking

Category: Social Norm Vulnerabilities

Tendency to do favors for people whom we like. Can be exploited by establishing rapport with target before asking for action.

Authority

Category: Social Norm Vulnerabilities

Tendency to comply with authority figures (usually legal or expert authorities). Exploitable by assuming the persona or impersonating an authority figure. 

Suggestibility

Category: Other Psychological Vulnerabilities

Technique that attempts to implant a false memory in the target through suggestion. 

Emotional Load

Category: Other Psychological Vulnerabilities

Affective responses--emotions, moods and feelings--effect cognition and perception. Media that intentionally causes a high degree of emotional load can significantly image how target audience member perceives and thinks about the subject of the media.


Deepfake Attack Surface & Vectors

As part of the DSMAF criteria, Deepfake Attack Surface & Vectors assesses the intended target; the manner of control, or how the synthetic media is being presented to the target; and medium, or the type of synthetic media being presented to the intended target.


Intended Target

Both humans and automation may be targeted by synthetic media attacks. This criteria references whether the target of the attack was human or automation. The highlighted icon represents the intended target of this submitted media.


Human

Technical

Hybrid

Unknown



Control

A measure of if the attack was constructed by a human or by artificial intelligence. The highlighted icon represents the method of control of this submitted media.


Human

Automation

Hybrid

Unknown



Medium

The medium is the format of the content submitted. Highlighted items represent all of the various formats contained in the submitted content.


Text

Image

Video

Audio

Synthetic Media Exploitation Matrix

The Synthetic Media Exploitation Matrix Is a visual representation of the combined levels of attacker sophistication and maliciousness.

  • Sophistication is a judgment of the level of demonstrated technological prowess and capability involved in the attack.
  • Maliciousness is a conclusion regarding the degree to which the attack was deliberately intended to cause harm.

Sophistication

Moderate

Technical complexity of the atttack.

Sophistication
Maliciousness

Chart Not Available on Printed Version

Maliciousness

Moderate

How damaging the attack was intended to be.



Motivations

Motivations are the underlying activators, purposes or sustained reasons for why the deepfake threat actor sought to create and take the necessary steps to produce and disseminate synthetic media or deepfake content.

This image is meant to cause Trump supporters to be emotionally stirred by the poignant image of Trump piously praying prior to his impending arrest. Historically there has been no deep historical evidence of Trump's religiosity, but in the wake of his historic arrest, imagery such as this--particularly when re-posted by Trump himself--is meant to invigorate support from his loyal base of supporters.

Divisiveness

Create group, organization or societal division

Suggestion

Offering information that affects the target audience legally, morally, ideologically or in other areas

Deception

Intentional strategy and tactics meant to mislead, misdirect and manipulate the perceptions of a target audience through simulation (showing the false) and/or dissimulation (hiding the real)

Ideology (Cause)

Use of deepfake and synthetic media to promote a particular political, scientific, social or other cause

Political Tumult

The creator and/or disseminator of the media seeks to create political discord, argumentation and divisiveness.

The Deepfake Kill Chain™

The Deepfake Kill Chain™ describes the various, distinct, sequential stages of deepfake media creation and dissemination. Understanding these stages, and the adversary’s efficacy in the respective stages not only reveals the adversary’s modus operandi and decision-making process, but when contrasted with the Deepfake & Synthetic Media Analysis Framework™, identifies and elucidates methods of preventing and defending against the adversary’s deepfake attacks.

Motivation

Motivation is the underlying activator, purpose or sustained reasons for why the deepfake threat actor wants to create nefarious synthetic media.

The image was created to place Trump in the light of a righteous, pious former President looking for comfort and strength from God prior to his impended arrest.

Targeting

Targeting is the threat actor’s intentional selection of a target audience, or the group or individual whom he is interested in impacting with his deepfake campaign.

As the image was posted on Truth Social, a social media company founded and owned by President Trump, the target audience is more than likely fellow Trump supporters

Research and Reconnaissance

Research & Reconnaissance occurs when the threat actor is effortfully gathering information about the target audience, the optimal channels to conduct their campaign on, the relevant narratives for the attack, and type of content that will have the desired impact on the target audience.

No case specific insights generated.

Preparation and Planning

Preparation & Planning are the steps and processes that the threat actor takes to acquire the tools and content needed to create the deepfake media for their campaign and their deliberation for the execution of the campaign.

No case specific insights generated.

Production

Production is the threat actor’s use of tools and content for the creation and development of deepfake media for their attack campaign.

No case specific insights generated.

Narrative Testing

Narrative Testing. A narrative is a story, or an account of related events or experiences. A good narrative will have story coherence, such that both the story being told and its relationship to the real world are cohesive and clear. In deepfake campaigns, threat actors consider and evaluate the possible narratives—particularly in relation to events and context—to support the campaign in an effort to maximize the believability and efficacy of the attack.

The image is meant to shape and reinforce a story-line of President Trump being persecuted by "the system," yet strongly facing adversity through his faith.

Deployment

Deployment is the threat actor’s intentional transmission of deepfake content to the target audience through selected online channels.

Originally posted on Truth Social and re-posted by President Trump himself is a powerful way to reach the target audience of Trump supporters.

Amplification

Amplification is the threat actor’s intentional efforts to maximize the visibility, virality and target audience exposure to their deepfake content.

No case specific insights generated.

Post-Campaign

Post-Campaign is the period after the target audience has received and been exposed to the deepfake content.

No case specific insights generated.



Cognitive Security Recommendations

This section identifies the steps and measures to prevent and defend against the synthetic media/deepfake content assessed in this DTIR. For a more detailed recommendation, training or consultation, connect with Psyber Labs.


When assessing emotionally evocative imagery it is helpful to take the following steps to objectively assess the imagery and the story the image is intended to convey: 1) Does the context of the image make sense? 2) Does the image seem to a improvised and "candid" or a staged, planned image? 3) Consider the perspective of the purported photographer taking the photo and the context surrounding taking the photo? In this instance, would there be a photographer at the ready to take a picture of a spontaneously kneeling and praying President Trump? If so--and if authentic-- would it be normal and appropriate to take a picture of him solemnly praying--or would that more than likely be a "photo opportunity?" 4) Is there any history of Trump behaving in this way? When contextualizing the image in this way, more questions are raised than answers making the veracity of the image very suspect.

Appendix

DTIR™ Version: 1.0

Submission Date (UTC): December 03, 2023 02:09

Assessment Date (UTC): March 02, 2024 03:00

SHA256 Hash: 2083dc529588df1797a958b22e5010b2b18d5301a43b8534f3dab3b9c63d3d3f

Source: https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/110073640542672378


Notes:

Image generated by MidJourney