Summary Threat Type Vulnerabilities Surface Matrix Motivations Kill Chain Recommendations Appendix
Print Report

Video of United States President Biden suggesting that his ears change/possible not the same person

Submitted File

On December 19, 2023, a video posted on the Julian Assange telegram channel depicted different images of United States President Joe Biden with different face and ear appearances and configurations. The post includes the text "REVEALED - FAKE BIDEN MAKE THIS VIRAL! SHARE, IMPORTANT."

Threat Level

Low

Moderate

Elevated

High


Authenticity Spectrum

Real

Suspicious

Likely Fake

Fake



Deepfake Attack Profile

Credibility

Moderate

The more synthetic media is perceived to be legitimate and authoritative, the content is more likely to be trusted, persuasive, and acted upon.

Interactivity

Low

Synthetic media can range from non-interactive, not ongoing, or not consistent (low) to interactive, ongoing, and consistent (high).

Familiarity

High

Synthetic media can range from very recognizable and familiar (high) or hardly (or not) recognizable and familiar (low).

Evocation

Moderate

Synthetic media can range from evoking a significant affective response (high) to barely or not at all eliciting an affective reaction.

Distribution

Narrowcast

Synthetic media can range from broadcast to a wide human audience or technical security measures (high) to a narrow, specific human audience or tailored technical security measure (low).


Deepfake & Synthetic Media Analysis Framework (DSMAF) Assessment™. The media submitted for this Deepfake Threat Intelligence Report (DTIR) was assessed with the Psyber Labs Deepfake & Synthetic Media Analysis Framework (DSMAF)™, a set of psychological, sociological and affective influence factors and sub-facets, that when holistically applied, inform the motivations, intentions, and targeting process in synthetic media and deepfake propagation. The findings of each DSMAF factor is described in respective sections and graphically plotted on the Deepfake Risk Factor Radar. The combined DSMAF findings are given a Synthetic Media Threat Level (Low, Medium, Elevated, or High) for actionable awareness and risk mitigation.

Threat Type

Threat Type is the category of intended purpose and the risk proposed by the synthetic media or deepfake. Often, cyber deception efforts through deepfake content are multi-purpose, and a result, are categorized with multiple threat types.

Social Contagion

The spread of behaviors, attitudes, beliefs and affect through social aggregates from one member to another

Digital Impersonation for Disinformation

Deepfake technology intentionally using the likeness of famous and/or credible authorities in an effort to shape the behaviors, attitudes, beliefs and/or emotions of the target audience

Propaganda

Information, especially of a biased, misleading or non-rational nature, used to promote a political cause or point of view

Common Cognitive Vulnerabilities & Exposures™ (CCVE)

Common Cognitive Vulnerabilities & Exploits (CCVEs) are perceptual distortions, cognitive biases, heuristics misapplied, or any mental process that exposes a person to a potential manipulation by an adversary.

This disinformation effort intends to exploit target audiences' pre-existing beliefs about Joe Biden. For those that believe he is mentally infirm and being instrumented by the 'Deep State' this video, seeking to convince viewers that Biden is "fake," perhaps a robot or body doubled is meant to serve as "evidence" to further bolster these beliefs. The post is expressly seeking a viral sharing of the video.

Confirmation Bias

Category: Cognitive Processing

The tendency to seek information that confirms or supports a predetermined position or conclusion.

Devil Effect

Category: Interpersonal Biases

In assessing other people, it is the tendency for a person’s undesirable trait to be generalized to possess other poor traits.

Availability Heuristic

Category: Cognitive Processing

Information that is more readily available in memory is judged as more likely or more representative. Can be influenced by recency or emotional virulence of the memories.

Suggestibility

Category: Other Psychological Vulnerabilities

Technique that attempts to implant a false memory in the target through suggestion. 


Deepfake Attack Surface & Vectors

As part of the DSMAF criteria, Deepfake Attack Surface & Vectors assesses the intended target; the manner of control, or how the synthetic media is being presented to the target; and medium, or the type of synthetic media being presented to the intended target.


Intended Target

Both humans and automation may be targeted by synthetic media attacks. This criteria references whether the target of the attack was human or automation. The highlighted icon represents the intended target of this submitted media.


Human

Technical

Hybrid

Unknown



Control

A measure of if the attack was constructed by a human or by artificial intelligence. The highlighted icon represents the method of control of this submitted media.


Human

Automation

Hybrid

Unknown



Medium

The medium is the format of the content submitted. Highlighted items represent all of the various formats contained in the submitted content.


Text

Image

Video

Audio

Synthetic Media Exploitation Matrix

The Synthetic Media Exploitation Matrix Is a visual representation of the combined levels of attacker sophistication and maliciousness.

  • Sophistication is a judgment of the level of demonstrated technological prowess and capability involved in the attack.
  • Maliciousness is a conclusion regarding the degree to which the attack was deliberately intended to cause harm.

Sophistication

Moderate

Technical complexity of the atttack.

Sophistication
Maliciousness

Chart Not Available on Printed Version

Maliciousness

High

How damaging the attack was intended to be.



Motivations

Motivations are the underlying activators, purposes or sustained reasons for why the deepfake threat actor sought to create and take the necessary steps to produce and disseminate synthetic media or deepfake content.

Using a deepfake for digital disinformation is seeking to inject a false narrative, create information chaos, division and deceive the target audience.

Injecting Chaos

Chaos injection is the intentional introduction of evocative material--which is often ambiguous and unresolved--to cause confusion and disorder.

Divisiveness

Create group, organization or societal division

Deception

Intentional strategy and tactics meant to mislead, misdirect and manipulate the perceptions of a target audience through simulation (showing the false) and/or dissimulation (hiding the real)

Provocation

Instigating, eliciting or forcing the target audience to take and action that is advantageous to the deepfake threat adversary

Ideology (Cause)

Use of deepfake and synthetic media to promote a particular political, scientific, social or other cause

The Deepfake Kill Chain™

The Deepfake Kill Chain™ describes the various, distinct, sequential stages of deepfake media creation and dissemination. Understanding these stages, and the adversary’s efficacy in the respective stages not only reveals the adversary’s modus operandi and decision-making process, but when contrasted with the Deepfake & Synthetic Media Analysis Framework™, identifies and elucidates methods of preventing and defending against the adversary’s deepfake attacks.

Motivation

Motivation is the underlying activator, purpose or sustained reasons for why the deepfake threat actor wants to create nefarious synthetic media.

The video was created and edited solely to sow a disinformation narrative.

Targeting

Targeting is the threat actor’s intentional selection of a target audience, or the group or individual whom he is interested in impacting with his deepfake campaign.

The video was likely targeting those who already have pre-existing beliefs, fears and dislikes about Joe Biden.

Research and Reconnaissance

Research & Reconnaissance occurs when the threat actor is effortfully gathering information about the target audience, the optimal channels to conduct their campaign on, the relevant narratives for the attack, and type of content that will have the desired impact on the target audience.

No case specific insights generated.

Preparation and Planning

Preparation & Planning are the steps and processes that the threat actor takes to acquire the tools and content needed to create the deepfake media for their campaign and their deliberation for the execution of the campaign.

The production of this video required the producer of the video to have numerous images and angles of Joe Biden in order to create the deepfake deception.

Production

Production is the threat actor’s use of tools and content for the creation and development of deepfake media for their attack campaign.

Careful and deliberate effort was made to not only show different, varying face/ear configurations, but efforts to highlight these features

Narrative Testing

Narrative Testing. A narrative is a story, or an account of related events or experiences. A good narrative will have story coherence, such that both the story being told and its relationship to the real world are cohesive and clear. In deepfake campaigns, threat actors consider and evaluate the possible narratives—particularly in relation to events and context—to support the campaign in an effort to maximize the believability and efficacy of the attack.

No case specific insights generated.

Deployment

Deployment is the threat actor’s intentional transmission of deepfake content to the target audience through selected online channels.

No case specific insights generated.

Amplification

Amplification is the threat actor’s intentional efforts to maximize the visibility, virality and target audience exposure to their deepfake content.

The video was posted on the Julian Assange telegram channel with the express request to make the video viral, presumably from viewers sharing, re-posting or otherwise amplifying the video conspicuity on the internet.

Post-Campaign

Post-Campaign is the period after the target audience has received and been exposed to the deepfake content.

No case specific insights generated.



Cognitive Security Recommendations

This section identifies the steps and measures to prevent and defend against the synthetic media/deepfake content assessed in this DTIR. For a more detailed recommendation, training or consultation, connect with Psyber Labs.


Deliberative thinking and considering not only the source of the video (Julian Assange), the request to make it viral (express instrumentation to foster a campaign on behalf of the original poster) is a sound way to objectively question the purpose of the video. To ensure that slow, evidence-based and bias free thinking is applied, ask the questions: "Why am I being asked to make this viral?" "Why are all of the images in black-and-white?" -Why are all of the images varying ages, weights and angles of Joe Biden" -"Do I want this to be real? -"Do I have any motivated beliefs about Joe Biden or politics generally that I am hoping for a particular reality about this video" -"Are there any other objective, confirmed, evidentiary sources about this matter other than on Julian Assange's telegram channel?"

Appendix

DTIR™ Version: 1.0

Submission Date (UTC): December 19, 2023 21:51

Assessment Date (UTC): March 19, 2024 21:17

SHA256 Hash: 29622aee8fa608b1edaf83cff64a5cd7673afe9b791c9b5125fa0832e82b559e

Source: https://t.me/JulianAssangeWikiLeaks/320